ORCL

"لا يعني بالضرورة أن أوراكل ستصل إلى الصفر. نعم، مقايضات التخلف عن سداد الائتمان الخاصة بأوراكل في ارتفاع. أنا أعلم ذلك. لكن هناك سبب لذلك. في الواقع، قمنا بالاطلاع على أساسيات شركة أوراكل في اليوم الآخر. يجب أن أقول إنها ليست بالسوء الذي كانت عليه في العام الماضي. أعتقد في الواقع أنها في مرحلة تكوين قاع حول خط الـ 139 هذا. هذا هو المستوى الذي تتواجد فيه تقريباً الآن. أعتقد حقاً أنها في مرحلة تكوين قاع."

"Now now today Oracle is is over 600 billion and it's still like 50% is from open AI. Basically 50% of future revenue of Oracle is from a company that loses money like crazy."

"Let's go back to Oracle because after that I I didn't finish after Oracle Um every people said that 50% of Oracle's RPO the the backlog is from open AI. the stock which had gone from 230 to 330 over the next 2 3 months went to 200 and today it's 150"

"Oracle puts out a data point called RPO, which is basically a form of backlog. when they reported earnings last year in October for their August quarter, their RPO went from like 150 billion to like 400 billion in 3 months. It was a massive jump."

"OpenAI promises $300 billion to Oracle. And Oracle spends about $40 billion buying Nvidia's chips."

"Oracle is up 3.7."

"This is the performance of Oracle stock over the past year. It is down 53% and I think there is more downside ahead."

"أوراكل"

"Here's the Oracle piece. This is Oracle is moving to shield itself from racking up expenses on a massive data center being built in New Mexico."

"Oracle down about 4% as you see it right now"

"But I don't I think a lot of people are going to brand this as oh no Oracle is going bankrupt or oh my gosh like people aren't going to look at all the details of this. This is really a regulatory delay. Let's go look at Oracle's numbers and I'll show you. And like I don't I don't have a horse in the race. I don't I don't own an Oracle. I don't really care what happens to Oracle. I'm not going to buy Oracle."

"Oracle is down purely because of a potential delay in a very big uh data center."

"قال الرئيس التنفيذي لشركة أوراكل إن عقود وحدات معالجة الرسومات الخاصة بهم يتم تجديدها أو إعادة بيعها بسعر أعلى بنسبة 20%"

"تشمل قائمة رهاناته على الانخفاض Oracle و Palantir"

"ওরাকল, এই ত্রৈমাসিক থেকে ৫০,০০০ MI250 জিপিইউ ব্যবহার করবে।"

"Looking at Oracle here, the free cash flow picture is the ugliest of the bunch, but the return on invested capital doesn't really look that bad."

"which are Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, and Oracle."

"Amazon can keep investing in data centers, they can keep up the CapEx, which is bullish for Nvidia, which is bullish for Nebius, which is bullish for Oracle"

"OpenAI gives money to Oracle. Oracle gives money to, I don't know, Nebius or whatever. And this whole thing could fall apart."

"When Oracle signed a $300 billion deal with OpenAI, the stock skyrocketed and investors were really bullish on the company's future as an infrastructure play in artificial intelligence. But it's been nothing but downhill for the company since then."

"পরবর্তীতে, তিন নম্বরে, ওরাকল (Oracle), ORCL। তারা কী কাজ করে? ৩০ বছর ধরে ওরাকল ব্যাংক, হাসপাতাল এবং সরকারের কাছে ডেটাবেস বিক্রি করেছে"

"Now, if we have a look at CapEx for Google, Microsoft, Amazon, SpaceX, Meta, Oracle, Nebius, and CoreWeave, we look at the number here for 2026."

"shorting Chip and AI names like Micron, Oracle, Palunteer, and Nvidia"

"I think the stock is not bad for someone that takes a lot of risk that wants to keep it a speculative position."

"S&P Global, which is one of the credit rating agencies. They downgraded Oracle to a tripleB minus."

"If OpenAI was unable to pay Oracle, they believe Oracle could left with massive data center releases that might not be able to exit or release to new tenant under pretty much decently fa favorable terms."

"And my stance hasn't changed on Oracle. I still believe the stock is looking very attractive over here. And I'm going to tell you why in today's video."

"Oracle just reported earnings. The stock is up 4% in the after hours, but it's still down 53% over the last year. It's an absolute disaster for the company."

"I think it's extremely extremely risky. And the main reason why I still don't own Oracle is because of the exposure to Open AI and and and all the LLMs."

"Then I did another one at $130 and I said Oracle stock is finally a buy."

"As long as Open AAI doesn't go to zero, I think Oracle will be fine."

"But it means that Oracle will be able to meet their spending plans and it will be able to turn free cash flow positive by 2029."

"Okay, Oracle. Listen, the the numbers are good. It's an A minus grade here."

"ما الذي تبقى لدينا؟ أوراكل، وأدوبي هذا الأسبوع، ثم سيكون لدينا ميكرون أيضاً."

"Microsoft, Meta, Oracle, these companies are desperate for a second chip supplier so they're not completely dependent on Nvidia."

"We'll start off with Oracle. Oracle year to date is down 18.8% over the past 12 months. Stock is down 33.4%."

"Oracle after the close and Adobe. We do have, of course, more news on Adobe's upcoming CEO. So, we'll touch on both of these companies in a bit."

"أتتذكرون " أوراكل"؟ الطلب على الذكاء الاصطناعي فيها مزدهر، ومع ذلك فقد استنزفت تدفقاً نقدياً سالباً بقيمة 23.7 مليار دولار في بنائه وتطويره."

"أما "Intuit" و "Oracle" فقد خسرتا حوالي 70%."

"أكبر تسع شركات سحابية في العالم، بما في ذلك أمازون، ومايكروسوفت، وجوجل، وميتا، وأوراكل"

"For the one that might blow your mind, Oracle, ORCL."

"The bull case is staggering. Oracle quietly became one of the biggest winners in AI. Its cloud infrastructure business grew 93% in a single quarter."

"To build all this capacity, Oracle's spending an absolutely staggering amount of money. Last year, for every dollar they brought in in revenue, are you ready for this? They spent 83 cents of it on construction. So much spending that it's free cash flow went negative. Negative to the tune of $24 billion."

"So, I hit the analyze button. I scroll down and I have a low price of 110, high price of 340 and a middle price of 193, which shows me about a 13% return based on today's price. And remember, guys, this includes that dividend, so don't add it on top of there. But again, for me, that debt level is just way too high."

"although there still is Oracle and Micron."

"Capex of what 1.3 1.4 4 trillion for next year, which is well above what the market is expecting, including a Nebuse, a core reef, and an oracle."

"Now if we go and have a look at capex for Google, Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, SpaceX, Cororeeve, Nebus, Oracle."

"Oracle 3.5, Tesla is up 1.4 or 1% or so. Nvidia is the one that's flat. Nvidia is really one where honestly this one has been a bit disrespected. Although next week is the earnings report. I do believe we're going to see a big move afterwards. We also have reporting next week. We will also have Oracle report maybe the week after that or maybe also next week."

"What about a company like Oracle Oracle is facing a flow a full-blown financial storm in the credit markets with its 5-year credit default swap spread skyrocketing 200 basis points up from just 40 basis points a year ago this means in ensuring Oracle's debt against default has roughly quintupled It has pushed Oracle's implied cumulative default probability over 16% making it the single most stressed investment grade technology borrower. That's crazy to even think about a 16% probability of defau"

"And it's Oracle, the database company that your bank is probably running on."

"It's it's usually a boring one. Although on Friday, as you know, Friday is always going to be spicy with BJ's reporting on Friday. You you naughty one. Anyways, on on Monday, nothing really interesting. On Tuesday before the open, it is a it is an interesting week with regards to consumer sentiment. So, we do have Home Depot. Clara could tell us a little bit with regards to the buy now pay later scene. We have BU Chinese company. Then on Wednesday, we do have Target. So, here again, you get a bi"

"تمتلك أوراكل حوالي 640 مليار دولار في سجل الطلبات"

"من بين أكثر من 600 مليار دولار في سجل طلبات أوراكل، يأتي حوالي نصفها من OpenAI."

"جوجل وأمازون ومايكروسوفت وأوراكل لديها أعمال حقيقية هنا."

"لديك جوجل ومايكروسوفت وأمازون وأوراكل"

"أمازون أو أوراكل"

"We also have Oracle."

"In addition, Palunteer, Caterpillar, Tesla, Oracle, and a newer AI name called Nebus."

"Microsoft is, Oracle is, Alphabet is, Meta, everyone is spending their cash flows."

"Short, the semiconductor index, Oracle, Nebius."

"Now, some of the richest, most powerful companies on Earth, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Oracle, plus the AI makers like OpenAI are all circling the same prize."

"This is what pushed Oracle in the first place."

"And then Oracle is just a gamble like most of the market."

"Oracle is gambling, is playing the game."

"companies like Meta, Amazon and probably Oracle will do extremely well."

"If we look at Oracle in the 2000s crashed 80%"

"comes a comment swen do Oracle do Oracle. Let me give you my opinion here."

"So bold case number one, cloud infrastructure is exploding. Oracle cloud has quietly become a real alternative to AWS and Microsoft's Azure."

"So our third and final stock is heavily debated inside our community right now. It's Oracle. This stock is trading right near it 52- week low."

"this 800 billion in contractual purchase commitments for Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, Amazon a little bit less Oracle also there but not yet commenced."

"across all major cloud providers, Amazon, Microsoft, Google, and Oracle."

"We'll discuss Oracle that boomed last year on these backlogs and then it reverted but okay the cloud backlog again open AI who is not doing anything with the cloud spending little money is Apple and the market is punishing it for it."

"لديك شركة أوراكل، على سبيل المثال. لكن مرة أخرى، أنا لا أشتريها لمجرد أنها مقومة بأقل من قيمتها. على سبيل المثال، أوراكل مقومة بأقل من قيمتها بنسبة 44%، لكنني لن أشتري أوراكل . لن أشتري أوراكل. لماذا لن أشتري أوراكل ؟ لأنني عندما أنظر إلى الأساسيات، هناك أشياء تخيفني. والشيء الرئيسي الذي يخيفني بشأن أوراكل هو أن مستويات الديون مرتفعة للغاية."

"أوراكل لا تزال موجودة حتى اليوم"

"Of course, Oracle is financially completely different but give it a year or two given the capex given the depreciation and mortization Google will look similarly."

"Oracle is up six"

"So, if you look at Oracle, you look at Microsoft, 50 to 60% of their backlog is tied to open AI, but Google has a much healthier, much more diversified backlog than many of those players."

"And we can also compare this with Oracle that highly leveraged, completely different business model, not a financial fortress, but also investing in similar things. And the market has already been hating that for 12 months. This might be next for Google."

"So what you're buying with Oracle is a company that's going to spend money upfront and then generate revenue over a long period of time."

"My name's Travis Holam. Thanks for watching Ascent Metric Investing. Please subscribe here on YouTube for all my content. And if you want more from me, check out Asymmetric Investing, my newsletter. There's a link on the screen and a link in the show notes. That's where you're going to see my full asymmetric investing portfolio as well as the asymmetric investing community. Someone I've added there recently. A lot of fun discussions going on there about what's going on in the market. But today, "

"Oracle does not have the cash on hand. That is in green right here. or $32 billion worth of cash on hand or the cash flow expecting $38 billion worth of operating cash flow continuing to increase over the next few years, but they're still going to have to take out more and more debt to be able to fund these obligations."

"So, what's the problem with that? Well, debt is already an issue for Oracle."

"I think Oracle is already in that bad situation. They don't have the lowest cost of capital. They're up against companies that have a ton of free cash flow being spa spat off by their traditional businesses, the Amazons's, Microsofts, and Googles of the world. Those companies can keep financing projects in perpetuity. Oracle simply can't. They don't have the cash flow behind their business. They got to make each of these projects work, and that's getting harder and harder by the day. So, that's "

"কিন্তু সেই সময়ে ইয়াহু, কোয়ালকম, সিসকো, সান মাইক্রোসিস্টেমস, ওরাকল—সবগুলোর মূল্যায়নই আজকের ম্যাগনিফিসেন্ট সেভেনের বেশিরভাগের চেয়ে অনেক বেশি ছিল।"

"Oracle 32%, Adobe 34%, Lululemon down 42%, and like I just said, into it down 58%"

"I trust a Google more than an Oracle. Plus, Google has the money. Oracle doesn't, especially not at this moment."

"Even a Google, even an Amazon, a Microsoft Azure, an Oracle, a Coreweave, et cetera, et cetera. It's good for these types of players."

"Next up is Oracle. And I know [168s] I'm going to probably get a little bit [169s] of flack for this one, but they're the [171s] company that rents out the raw computing [173s] power that AI labs like OpenAI use to [176s] train their models. Through its cloud [178s] arm, OCI, Oracle builds the data centers [180s] and leases the GPU capacity to the [183s] companies that need enormous compute,"

"So that was my opinion on Oracle."

"They recently downgraded Oracle to a triple B minus, which is a little bit above junk status, you could say."

"But I think Oracle could be a buy here for people that take a lot of risks."

"It's trading right now at about 10 times price to operating cash flow. I think this is very very cheap for the company."

"And this is a big concern here with OpenAI, that half of this magnificent backlog is tied to OpenAI, and that's not good for Oracle."

"Now, in terms of the balance sheet situation, this is the worst part of Oracle. The company has $157 billion in debt, long-term, short-term, other liabilities total is $157 billion in debt against only a $31 billion cash position."

"So, as a proxy of betting on compute and betting on AI in general, I think Oracle is amazing for someone that's too aggressive, wants to take a lot of risks with potentially explosive upside potential."

"Now, in the case of Oracle, they restructured a lot of the debt previously, and it's looking much much better right now."

"But, I think Oracle over here is looking much, much better than it was at two hundred and twenty dollars per share."

"So, is Oracle going to zero? I don't think so."

"So, the setup here is looking really good not just in terms of free cash flow expansion once the CapEx is done, but also from them paying down the debt which alone will likely boost free cash flow by a major major way."

"And this is another reason why uh the company has downgraded Oracle cuz Oracle was mostly a recurring revenue software business and now they're getting more into a lot of those compute stuff and that's uh a little bit uh more volatile and a little bit uncertain for Oracle."

"It says, "OpenAI remained a key credit risk for Oracle."

"I'm seeing a lot of people on X and even on YouTube buying Z dip on Oracle's stock saying that Oracle is an amazing opportunity at a hundred and thirty dollars per share."

"Oracle down 33,"

"Six companies, Amazon, Meta, Nvidia, Oracle, Alphabet, and SpaceX have borrowed more money than ever in history"

"Amazon, Meta, Nvidia, Oracle, the biggest companies in the world have been borrowing hundreds of billions of dollars to fund the AI boom."

"Next one up here, Oracle. Oracle, very controversial stock. This one has gone down immensely. It's down about 32% year-to-date, right? Oracle at rank is a five."

"with gas already flowing to Oracle's data centers"

"Oracle's reporting earnings this week, and this is another important one."

"Oracle is going to be reporting earnings. This stock is incredibly meaningful to the AI story. They are one of the ones selling all the cloud infrastructure. I'll be going over some expectations for this"

"It won't grow at these lumpy rates where it has huge quarters like Oracle or Microsoft"

"It won't grow at these lumpy rates where it has huge quarters like Oracle or Microsoft"